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SJSharkies4ever

SPHL Standings w/ Magic Numbers (Updated weekly)

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The most points the Bulls can get is 8 points.  We are up by 5 so we need to get 4 points to clinch.  If we got only one win and an overtime loss and the Bulls win all 4 we would tie.  It would go to the tiebreaker which is total wins.  We would be tied in them, so Birmingham would make the playoffs because they beat us in head to head series, which is the 2nd tiebreaker. So we need to win 2 games or any combination of gaining 4 points or Birmingham losing 4 points and we are in.  

3 hours ago, robard said:

Can someone please explain the whole magic number thing?

 

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6 hours ago, robard said:

Can someone please explain the whole magic number thing?

The simplest explanation is this:

Think of baseball and it's magic number, which determines how many games a team will take to be eliminated.

It is Games Played + 1 - Team A Wins - Team B Losses = Magic Number

In hockey, it is much different, but the same result.

As Greg already stated, the maximum points possible for Birmingham to get is 8 points (4 games remaining * 2 points per win = 8 points), which would make their maximum points possible 57 points. Roanoke needs 2 wins of their last 4 remaining to beat out the Bulls. Should the Dawgs finish 1-2-1 in their last 4 games, and Birmingham goes 4-0-0, then Birmingham would knock Roanoke from the playoffs.

The formula used to determine the actual magic number is this:

(Max Pts from Team B - Current Pts from Team A + 1) / 2

Now, with most of the calculations, results might say 3.5 which is saying 3.5 games remaining, but it is officially rounded to 4.

I will show an example.

Okay, Evansville has 58 points and Roanoke is still in position to beat out Evansville for seeding.

So, you calculate the 8 points (2 points for each win in last 4 games) and add that to Roanoke's current points, 54 + 8 = 62. The end result is 62 maximum points.

The formula from above is used and you input the appropriate values, just like back in algebra class. To explain the + 1 is to account for the tiebreaker scenario.

X = Roanoke's points possible
Y = Evansville's current points

(x - y + 1) / 2
(62 - 58 + 1) / 2
(4 + 1) / 2
5 / 2 = 2.5

So this calculation shows that Roanoke will take 2.5, or 3 games to be eliminated from 6th place.

To check this result, Roanoke would need to gain 5 points in the last 4 games to beat out Evansville, and considering the maximum points you can earn in 2 games is 4 points, so therefore that half of a game that would be rounded to 3 would show that in 1 of those 3 games, the Dawgs could earn 1 point.

I guess in hindsight of this explanation, it doesn't seem so simple after all. The basic understanding of the formula used and understanding that all half game results must be rounded up to achieve the correct value is very important to understanding this and being able to track it yourself.

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1 hour ago, MacGuy said:

:dizzy:

Take your shoes off, Mac, and you'll have twelve more digits to do the cipherin' with.  :hmm:

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Updated as of 4/5/2018 10:27 PM ET

RANK CHG TEAM GP W L OTL PTS PCT ROW GF GA DIFF HOME ROAD E#
1 -- y-Peoria Rivermen 54 37 12 5 79 .731 34 204 150 +54 20-5-1 17-7-4 --
2 +2 x-Macon Mayhem 54 32 16 6 70 .648 32 205 171 +34 17-9-1 15-7-5 --
3 -1 x-Pensacola Ice Flyers 54 32 16 6 70 .648 30 184 151 +33 18-7-3 14-9-3 --
4 -1 x-Huntsville Havoc 54 29 16 9 67 .620 27 193 170 +23 19-8-1 10-8-8 --
5 -- x-Knoxville Ice Bears 54 29 19 6 64 .593 27 200 177 +23 18-7-1 11-12-5 --
6 -- x-Evansville Thunderbolts 54 26 20 8 60 .556 25 181 186 -5 14-9-4 12-11-4 --
7 -- x-Mississippi RiverKings 54 27 25 2 56 .519 25 175 175 0 13-12-1 14-13-1 --
8 -- x-Roanoke Rail Yard Dawgs 54 25 25 4 54 .500 20 166 188 -22 13-14-1 12-11-3 --
9 -- Birmingham Bulls 54 22 27 5 49 .454 19 155 187 -32 15-10-1 7-17-4 E
10 -- Fayetteville Marksmen 54 11 37 6 28 .259 9 140 248 -108 6-18-4 5-19-2 E
x - Clinched playoff berth                          
y - Won regular season title                          
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